{"id":24835,"date":"2022-08-03T11:51:09","date_gmt":"2022-08-03T15:51:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/?p=24835"},"modified":"2022-08-09T13:34:00","modified_gmt":"2022-08-09T17:34:00","slug":"mining-efforts-are-not-meeting-the-supply-gap","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/mining-efforts-are-not-meeting-the-supply-gap\/","title":{"rendered":"Global Mining: Not Meeting the Supply Gap"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Mining activity and production is increasing. Its not enough to meet future demand.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.industrialinfo.com\/database\/metals_and_minerals\/\">Data from<\/a> Industrial Info Resources reveals there are 4,790 metals and minerals capital projects with a value of $443 billion currently under construction around the world. There are 10,586 projects under planning, for a combined total of $1.11 trillion.<\/p>\n<p>The top miners have increased capital outlays by more than 50% since the lows of the industry downturn in 2017. We believe these expenditures will increase as demand pressures continue to rise from global \u201cNet Zero\u201d policies and demand from green industries.<\/p>\n<h2>Resurgence of Coal<\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.smh.com.au\/business\/companies\/china-s-ban-on-australian-coal-to-last-at-least-another-two-years-20220224-p59zcu.html\">China\u2019s ban<\/a> on Australian coal has been a boon for US. Suppliers, with a 26% increase in US exports this year. China currently gets 65% of its energy from coal and Asian countries are increasing their investment in coal, with more coal-fired plants being built than are being retired.\u00a0 A renewed reliance on coal, a high carbon-emission source of energy, will result in a significant gap in capital expenditures for green energy and renewable alternatives.<\/p>\n<h2>Copper Underinvestment<\/h2>\n<p>This is a huge problem for the energy transition. For example, lets look at copper.\u00a0 Copper is an essential metal for manufacturing electric vehicles, EV batteries, windmills and other technology essential for a green future.\u00a0 The red metal is also key for construction and cellphone manufacturing.\u00a0 Unfortunately there&#8217;s a severe supply gap. There has been a response from global copper miners to ramp up production \u2013 but so far, it\u2019s been too little to meet future demand.<\/p>\n<p>Judging by the following chart below, current capital expenditures are increasing \u2013 unsurprisingly matching the locales where historically copper mining has been most intensive.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-24836\" src=\"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/Top-Copper-CAPEX.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"708\" height=\"725\" srcset=\"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/Top-Copper-CAPEX.png 708w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/Top-Copper-CAPEX-293x300.png 293w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/Top-Copper-CAPEX-696x713.png 696w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 708px) 100vw, 708px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/copper-electrification-metal\/\">In a recent report<\/a>, we outlined that the projected spike in demand places incredible stress on the limited copper supply we are currently mining. Global copper demand is projected to double \u2013 from 25 million metric tonnes in 2021, to nearly 49 million metric tonnes in 2035.<br \/>\nLet\u2019s keep in mind that demand from markets outside of green energy \u2013 like construction, appliance manufacturing, cell phones etc. will grow at a compound rate of 2.4% between 2020 and 2050.<\/p>\n<p>So, even without an energy transition, copper demand will still increase significantly.<\/p>\n<h2>Best Value in Copper Miners<\/h2>\n<p>Lundin Mining (TSX:LUN) is the cheapest large cap trading at a 50% blended valuation discount to peers and Sierra Metals (NYSE:SMTS) (TSX:SMT) is the cheapest small cap trading at 80% blended valuation discount. Additionally, both companies offer very attractive dividend yields that are above the copper peer group and the S&amp;P 500 market yield.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-24762\" src=\"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/best-value-among-copper-miners-2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1820\" height=\"1024\" srcset=\"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/best-value-among-copper-miners-2.jpg 1820w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/best-value-among-copper-miners-2-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/best-value-among-copper-miners-2-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/best-value-among-copper-miners-2-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/best-value-among-copper-miners-2-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/best-value-among-copper-miners-2-696x392.jpg 696w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/best-value-among-copper-miners-2-1392x783.jpg 1392w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1820px) 100vw, 1820px\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>There are 4,790 metals and minerals capital projects valued at $443 billion currently under construction &#8211; not enough to meet global demand.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":24,"featured_media":15918,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[59],"tags":[269,1807,587,74,76,1998,1725,846,1267],"class_list":{"0":"post-24835","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-metals","8":"tag-australia","9":"tag-battery-metals","10":"tag-china","11":"tag-coal","12":"tag-copper","13":"tag-green-energy","14":"tag-nysesmts","15":"tag-sierra-metals","16":"tag-smts"},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.8 - 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