{"id":23982,"date":"2021-12-23T08:34:55","date_gmt":"2021-12-23T13:34:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/?p=23982"},"modified":"2022-03-18T12:26:08","modified_gmt":"2022-03-18T16:26:08","slug":"copper-miners-on-discount","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/copper-miners-on-discount\/","title":{"rendered":"Copper Miners on Discount"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Copper mining stocks are deeply discounted relative to the market and their underlying commodities. The metal provides significant protection versus inflation and is critical to the future green economy. We screen for value in the copper universe, highlighting two deep value copper stocks.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Copper Miners on Deep Discount\" width=\"696\" height=\"392\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/rADXdjy3Ab4?feature=oembed&#038;enablejsapi=1&#038;origin=https:\/\/capital10x.com\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2>Commodities Screen Value Relative to the Stock Market<\/h2>\n<p>From a macro view it&#8217;s clear that commodities represent value in the market, they are cheapest they have ever been relative to US equities in the last 50 years.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-23332\" src=\"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/Commodities-Relative-US-Equities.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1308\" height=\"864\" srcset=\"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/Commodities-Relative-US-Equities.jpg 1308w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/Commodities-Relative-US-Equities-300x198.jpg 300w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/Commodities-Relative-US-Equities-1024x676.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/Commodities-Relative-US-Equities-768x507.jpg 768w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/Commodities-Relative-US-Equities-696x460.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1308px) 100vw, 1308px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Commodities also provide an important hedge against inflation. During the 70s the best way for investors to protect themselves versus inflation was by owning gold (30.7% annual return) and commodities (24.1% annual return); we believe that applies to this decade as well.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-23349\" src=\"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/Asset-Class-Performance-1970s-V02.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1308\" height=\"864\" srcset=\"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/Asset-Class-Performance-1970s-V02.jpg 1308w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/Asset-Class-Performance-1970s-V02-300x198.jpg 300w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/Asset-Class-Performance-1970s-V02-1024x676.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/Asset-Class-Performance-1970s-V02-768x507.jpg 768w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/Asset-Class-Performance-1970s-V02-696x460.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1308px) 100vw, 1308px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Copper is the Sweet Spot<\/h2>\n<p>Copper is one of the most critical commodities for the future green economy; it is a key input for electric vehicles, wind, solar and infrastructure. Goldman Sachs projected green related copper demand will increase from 1Mt in 2020 to 5.4Mt in 2030. This green demand currently represents 3% of total global copper demand, by 2030 it will be be close to 16%.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-23362\" src=\"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/copper-chart-2-goldman.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"593\" height=\"439\" srcset=\"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/copper-chart-2-goldman.png 593w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/copper-chart-2-goldman-300x222.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 593px) 100vw, 593px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Additionally, in the near term there is a very tight supply\/demand dynamic for copper, with global inventories sitting at decade lows.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-23979\" src=\"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Copper-Inventories-are-low.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1308\" height=\"849\" srcset=\"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Copper-Inventories-are-low.jpg 1308w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Copper-Inventories-are-low-300x195.jpg 300w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Copper-Inventories-are-low-1024x665.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Copper-Inventories-are-low-768x498.jpg 768w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Copper-Inventories-are-low-696x452.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1308px) 100vw, 1308px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Base Metal Miners are Cheap vs History<\/h2>\n<p>Base metal miners are trading at trough valuations relative to history, the group of North American miners currently trade at 4.5x EV\/EBITDA versus their historical average of 6.0x EV\/EBITDA.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-23977\" src=\"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Base-metals-are-cheap-vs-history.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1308\" height=\"792\" srcset=\"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Base-metals-are-cheap-vs-history.jpg 1308w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Base-metals-are-cheap-vs-history-300x182.jpg 300w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Base-metals-are-cheap-vs-history-1024x620.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Base-metals-are-cheap-vs-history-768x465.jpg 768w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Base-metals-are-cheap-vs-history-696x421.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1308px) 100vw, 1308px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Screening for Value Among Copper Miners<\/h2>\n<p>The small and mid cap copper mining universe offers the best value in the sector, as they trade at a substantial discount to their large cap copper peers.<\/p>\n<p>Sierra Metals (NYSE:SMTS, TSX:SMT) and Hudbay Minerals (TSX:HBM) are two copper miners that screen deep value relative to their small\/mid cap copper peers.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-23978\" src=\"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Best-value-among-copper-miners.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1308\" height=\"807\" srcset=\"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Best-value-among-copper-miners.jpg 1308w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Best-value-among-copper-miners-300x185.jpg 300w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Best-value-among-copper-miners-1024x632.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Best-value-among-copper-miners-768x474.jpg 768w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Best-value-among-copper-miners-696x429.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1308px) 100vw, 1308px\" \/><\/p>\n<h3>Sierra Metals (NYSE:SMTS, TSX:SMT)<\/h3>\n<p>Relative to its small &amp; mid cap copper producer peer group, Sierra Metals trades at a 64% discount on forward price-to-cashflow, 66% discount on forward EV\/EBITDA and 63% discount on forward price-to-sales.<\/p>\n<p>Sierra Metals has unique combination of superior production growth (14% compound annual growth rate over the next 5 years) and below industry average cost structure (32nd percentile on the copper industry cost curve).<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-22582\" src=\"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/sierra-production-costs-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"900\" height=\"512\" srcset=\"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/sierra-production-costs-1.jpg 900w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/sierra-production-costs-1-300x171.jpg 300w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/sierra-production-costs-1-768x437.jpg 768w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/sierra-production-costs-1-696x396.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 900px) 100vw, 900px\" \/><\/p>\n<h3>Hudbay Minerals (TSX:HBM)<\/h3>\n<p>Relative to its small &amp; mid cap copper producer peer group, Hudbay trades at a 48% discount on forward price-to-cashflow, 66% discount on forward EV\/EBITDA and 38% discount on forward price-to-sales.<\/p>\n<p>Hudbay is well-positioned on the cash cost curve relative to global copper peers and the company has a strong track record of achieving or exceeding production guidance.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-23084\" src=\"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/hudbay-cash-cost.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"461\" height=\"328\" srcset=\"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/hudbay-cash-cost.png 461w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/hudbay-cash-cost-300x213.png 300w, https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/hudbay-cash-cost-100x70.png 100w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 461px) 100vw, 461px\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Copper miners are trading a deep discount relative to the market and their own valuation history; we highlight 2 deep value copper stocks.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":23981,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"video","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[59],"tags":[461,1846,1847,1794,846,847,1267],"class_list":{"0":"post-23982","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-video","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-metals","8":"tag-commodities","9":"tag-copper-miners","10":"tag-hb","11":"tag-hudbay-minerals","12":"tag-sierra-metals","13":"tag-smt","14":"tag-smts","15":"post_format-post-format-video"},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Copper Miners on Discount | Capital 10X<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Copper miners are trading a deep discount relative to the market and their own valuation history; we highlight 2 deep value copper stocks.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/copper-miners-on-discount\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Copper Miners on Discount | Capital 10X\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Copper miners are trading a deep discount relative to the market and their own valuation history; 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