{"id":22057,"date":"2020-08-02T21:22:01","date_gmt":"2020-08-03T01:22:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/?p=22057"},"modified":"2020-11-26T09:45:43","modified_gmt":"2020-11-26T14:45:43","slug":"markets-and-metals-navigator-august-2nd-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/markets-and-metals-navigator-august-2nd-2020\/","title":{"rendered":"Markets and Metals Navigator (August 2nd, 2020)"},"content":{"rendered":"

Gold and Silver Keep Charging!<\/h2>\n

The precious metals bull run is firing on all cylinders, gold was up 4% on the week and silver was up 7%.<\/p>\n

Gold had its strongest month in July since 2012, with bullion up 11%. Silver however took the spotlight, up 35% for the month. It’s clear investors have accepted silver as leveraged play on gold.<\/p>\n

Gold & Silver Performance for the Month of July, 2020<\/h4>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

While gold has smashed through the previous record high ($1,921) this week, the World Gold Council highlights that it is below its inflation adjusted high of $2,800\/oz\u00a0 (1980).<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

The U.S. 10-Year real yield (10-year yield minus inflation) is fallen below -1%, the lowest on record. Low real yields are very bullish for gold as it eliminates the opportunity cost of holding the metal (it doesn’t pay interest).<\/p>\n

U.S. 10-Year Real Yield<\/h4>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Additionally, Deutsche Bank’s analysis has found that the 10-year U.S. government bond yield is at a 234 year low.\u00a0 The tailwind for gold and silver is very significant.<\/p>\n

10-Year US Government Yield<\/h4>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Diversified miners with silver exposure are well positioned in this backdrop, as strong incremental cash flow from their silver byproducts drive earnings leverage in the business.<\/p>\n

Sierra Metals (NYSE:SMTS, TSX:SMT) is one of the companies that will significantly benefit from higher silver prices, producing over 3.4 million ounces of silver in 2019. The company announced on July 28th<\/a> that it will restart operations at it’s Cusi Silver Mine in Mexico.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Cannabis Week in Review<\/h2>\n

Canadian cannabis equities had an inline week, the Horizons Marijuana ETF (HMMJ) finished ahead of the S&P 500 and TSX. However cannabis equities were up significantly more earlier in the week, only to give it back as Aphria earnings didn’t spark the imagination of the sector bulls.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Aphria (TSX:APHA, NYSE: APHA) Q4 earnings results beat analyst revenue estimates by 3%, which was driven the retail division, revenue was up +18% y\/y for the quarter.<\/p>\n

The company also announced a $100 million USD at the market offering which management states will be used for expansion and general corporate purposes.<\/p>\n

On balance this wasn’t the blow out quarter bulls had hoped for, the stock lagged on the week however is still outperforming the index YTD.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

US Cannabis Stocks Breaking Out<\/h3>\n

We’re seeing a clear breakout in the US cannabis names relative to the Canadian names. Last week the 4 largest US cannabis companies (Trulieve, Curaleaf, Cresco, Green Thumb) were up on average 10% vs. the Horizons Marijuana Index up 2%.<\/p>\n

On a year-to-date basis the performance differential is far more pronounced.\u00a0 Trulieve, Green Thumb and Curaleaf are up 40.8%, 40.7% and 37.7% respectively.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Price-to-Sales multiples are reasonable as well, ranging from 3-6x; in comparison Canopy Growth trades on 17x.\u00a0 Additionally the U.S. companies have significantly higher growth, Trulieve and Curaleaf are expected to grow sales this year by 70% and 200% respectively.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A weekly review of the most important news impacting the metals and cannabis markets. This week: gold & silver keep trucking & US pot decoupling.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":15924,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1755,59],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-22057","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-growth_navigator","8":"category-metals"},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nMarkets and Metals Navigator (August 2nd, 2020) | Capital 10X<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A weekly review of the most important news impacting the metals and cannabis markets. 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