{"id":21765,"date":"2020-06-14T11:53:35","date_gmt":"2020-06-14T15:53:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/?p=21765"},"modified":"2020-11-26T09:46:28","modified_gmt":"2020-11-26T14:46:28","slug":"the-gold-metals-navigator-june-14th-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/the-gold-metals-navigator-june-14th-2020\/","title":{"rendered":"The Gold & Metals Weekly Navigator (June 14th, 2020)"},"content":{"rendered":"

Weekly Performance Recap<\/h2>\n

It was a big risk-off week for the market with the S&P 500 down -5% and volatility soaring higher.\u00a0 The sell off in risk assets was broad based as oil snapped\u00a0 a 6-week winning streak with WTI down -8% for the week.<\/p>\n

The U.S. Federal Reserve on Wednesday stated that it isn’t planning on hiking its benchmark interest rate until 2022 at the earliest because of COVID-19. Additionally, the central bank is projecting GDP to decline by -6.5% this year and unempolyment rate to be 9.3% at year’s end.<\/p>\n

Gold rallied on the back of market sell-off, ending the week up +3%; while silver was up 0.5%.\u00a0 Senior gold equities were up 0.5%, junior gold equities were down -1% and silver equities were flat on the week.<\/p>\n

Precious Metals & Equities Performance for June 8th-12th, 2020<\/h4>\n
\"\"
Source: YCharts<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Return of Volatility<\/h2>\n

This week marked the return of volatility, with the CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) spiking 13% on Thursday; pushing through 40% and snapping a sustained downtrend since March 16th, 2020.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

We analyzed greater than +10% moves on a weekly basis in the VIX (x-axis) versus the gold price percentage move (y-axis) from 2000 to 2020, the data shows that spikes in the VIX have been positive triggers for the gold price.<\/p>\n

The analysis found that 61% of the time the gold price was up during spikes in the VIX. The average move in the gold price during all +10% increases in the VIX was +0.45%.<\/p>\n

Greater than +10% Increase in the VIX vs. Percentage Change in the Gold Price (2000 – 2020)<\/h4>\n
\"\"
Source: Capital 10X, Yahoo Finance<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Fear of 2nd Wave of COVID-19 Hits Commodities<\/h2>\n

On Wednesday, the U.S. hit 2 million confirmed COVID-19 cases, according to Johns Hopkins University.<\/p>\n

The graphic below highlights the risks of 2nd wave COVID-19 infections by state, a troubling development that could accelerate after 2 weeks of mass protesting in America.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Gold, copper and silver were the only commodities to escape the week in positive territory, it was a broad based sell off in consumable and industrial commodities.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

World is Awash with Bonds<\/h2>\n

The bond bubble continues to inflate, the value of global bonds has now reached $60 trillion for the first time.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

The interest rate on this pile of global debt is also at historically low levels, with Japan and German 10-year government bond yields at 0% and -0.4% respectively.\u00a0 Over 90% of global government bonds trade at a yield of below 1%.<\/p>\n

This is a very constructive backdrop for gold, as the metal benefits from a low opportunity cost versus other investment alternatives.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Silver vs. Silver Mining Stocks<\/h2>\n

Capital 10X launched the Silver Insights Series, in this week’s edition<\/a> we examine how silver mining stocks performed in the last silver bull market (August 2010 – April 2011).<\/p>\n

https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/silver-bull-run-vs-gold-FNL.mp4<\/a><\/video><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A weekly review of the most important news impacting the gold & metals industry. This week: volatility is back, COVID-19 2nd wave and Silver stocks.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":15922,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1755,59],"tags":[1609,1600,1521,1641,104,848,1639,1640],"class_list":{"0":"post-21765","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-growth_navigator","8":"category-metals","9":"tag-covid-19","10":"tag-gdx","11":"tag-gdxj","12":"tag-global-bonds","13":"tag-gold","14":"tag-silver","15":"tag-vix","16":"tag-volatility"},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nThe Gold & Metals Weekly Navigator (June 14th, 2020) | Capital 10X<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A weekly review of the most important news impacting the gold & metals industry. 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