{"id":21510,"date":"2020-03-20T09:58:27","date_gmt":"2020-03-20T13:58:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/?p=21510"},"modified":"2020-03-22T05:50:23","modified_gmt":"2020-03-22T09:50:23","slug":"gold-investor-roundup-march-20th-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/gold-investor-roundup-march-20th-2020\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold Investor Roundup: Analysis of the Week\u2019s Most Important Events (March 20th, 2020)"},"content":{"rendered":"

Saxo Bank: Long-term case for gold strong despite bad few weeks<\/h2>\n

Bottom Line: <\/strong>Amid gold\u2019s failure to rally these past few weeks, Saxo sees parallels with the 2008 financial crisis \u2013 when gold initially suffered a 27% sell-off to $725\/oz before rallying to $1920\/oz within three years. Noting that the U.S. 10-year real yield, which typically has an inverse relationship with gold, has risen sharply during the past week, Saxo said this direction is unsustainable and that yields will eventually move back into a deeper negative territory. It also noted that the cost of fuel, which accounts for 20% of mining cost, has collapsed, meaning gold miners are not suffering to the extent the drop in gold would imply.<\/p>\n

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Source: Saxo Bank.<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Read more>><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

IHS Markit sees gold prices falling to $1,300\/oz \u2013 and possibly even lower<\/h2>\n

Bottom Line: <\/strong>In contrast to Saxo\u2019s bullish stance, IHS Markit sees gold prices falling to $1,300\/oz in the second half of the year as investors continue to hoard cash. Speaking to Kitco, precious metals analyst KC Chang said that if economic projections continue to weaken, gold prices could even fall back to 2015 lows of around $1,050\/oz. With five-year inflation expectations likely to drop as low as 1%, there is no real urgency to buy gold, Chang said. While there may be some upward price volatility in gold as a safe-haven asset, many retail and professional investors will struggle to find the capital to buy gold, he said.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n
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Source: Bloomberg.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Read more>><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

Kirkland Lake Gold announces share repurchase plan, doubles quarterly dividend<\/h2>\n

Bottom Line: Kirkland Lake Gold<\/strong> [stock_market_widget type=\"inline\" template=\"generic\" color=\"default\" assets=\"KL.TO\" markup=\"(TSX: {symbol} {currency_symbol}{price} ({change_pct}))\" api=\"yf\"][stock_market_widget type=\"inline\" template=\"generic\" color=\"default\" assets=\"KL\" markup=\"(NYSE: {symbol} {currency_symbol}{price} ({change_pct}))\" api=\"yf\"] rose 14% in the week to Thursday close following a double dose of good news. It announced the repurchase of 10.1 million common shares for C$470 million (around $330 million) as part of a goal of repurchasing 20 million common shares in the next 12-24 months. Separately, it announced a quarterly dividend payment of $0.125 per common share, a 100% increase from the previous dividend. CEO Tony Makuch said the decision to double the dividend reflects the strength of the company balance sheet and the ability of its three cornerstone assets \u2013 Macassa and Detour Lake in Ontario and Fosterville in the state of Victoria, Australia \u2013 to generate significant amounts of free cash flow.<\/p>\n

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Source: YCharts.com.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Read more>><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

Newmont ramping down Peru operations due to coronavirus restrictions<\/h2>\n

Bottom Line: Newmont<\/strong> [stock_market_widget type=\"inline\" template=\"generic\" color=\"default\" assets=\"NEM\" markup=\"(NYSE: {symbol} {currency_symbol}{price} ({change_pct}))\" api=\"yf\"][stock_market_widget type=\"inline\" template=\"generic\" color=\"default\" assets=\"NGT.TO\" markup=\"(TSX: {symbol} {currency_symbol}{price} ({change_pct}))\" api=\"yf\"], the world\u2019s largest gold producer, will ramp down operations at the Yanacocha mine to comply with Peru\u2019s stringent coronavirus restrictions. Newmont owns 51% of Yanacocha, with Compa\u00f1ia de Minas Buenaventura (44%) and the International Finance Corporation (5%) holding the remainder. It produced 527,000 ounces in 2019, roughly 8% of Newmont\u2019s consolidated gold production. Peru accounted for 4% of all global gold mine production last year, according to the United States Geological Service.<\/p>\n

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Source: YCharts.com.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Read more>><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

Barrick announces plans to make Veladero a Tier One mine<\/h2>\n

Bottom Line: Barrick Gold<\/a><\/strong> [stock_market_widget type=\"inline\" template=\"generic\" color=\"default\" assets=\"ABX.TO\" markup=\"(TSX: {symbol} {currency_symbol}{price} ({change_pct}))\" api=\"yf\"][stock_market_widget type=\"inline\" template=\"generic\" color=\"default\" assets=\"GOLD\" markup=\"(NYSE: {symbol} {currency_symbol}{price} ({change_pct}))\" api=\"yf\"], the world\u2019s second-largest gold producer, has extended the life of the Veladero gold mine in Argentina to at least 2030 following a comprehensive review, CEO Mark Bristow has announced. Speaking by video conference to Argentinian stakeholders to comply with Covid-19 travel restrictions, Bristow said the move would make Veladero a Tier One mine. Barrick defines a Tier One mine as one that produces in excess of 500,000oz of gold per year and has a life of at least 10 years. Veladero, a 50\/50 joint venture between Barrick and Shandong Gold, produced 548,000oz gold last year, half of it attributable to Barrick.<\/p>\n

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Source: YCharts.com.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Read more>><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

Agnico Eagle, Sabina suspend Nunavut operations over coronavirus<\/h2>\n

Bottom Line: Agnico Eagle<\/a><\/strong> [stock_market_widget type=\"inline\" template=\"generic\" color=\"default\" assets=\"AEM.TO\" markup=\"(TSX: {symbol} {currency_symbol}{price} ({change_pct}))\" api=\"yf\"] [stock_market_widget type=\"inline\" template=\"generic\" color=\"default\" assets=\"AEM\" markup=\"(NYSE: {symbol} {currency_symbol}{price} ({change_pct}))\" api=\"yf\"] has withdrawn personnel from the Meadowbank gold-silver mining complex and Meliadine mine \u2013 which together account for around 430,000oz annual gold production \u2013 as well as exploration projects for at least four weeks. The decision came one day after residents of the Nunavut community of Rankin Inlet blocked the road to Meliadine over coronavirus fears<\/a>. Separately, Sabina Gold & Silver Corp.<\/strong> [stock_market_widget type=\"inline\" template=\"generic\" color=\"default\" assets=\"SBB.TO\" markup=\"(TSX: {symbol} {currency_symbol}{price} ({change_pct}))\" api=\"yf\"] has deferred a drilling program at the Back River Gold project<\/a> after determining that if an employer or contractor were to fall sick from the coronavirus, the remote location would make it difficult to provide adequate health care.<\/p>\n

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Source: YCharts.com.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Read more>><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

Junior makes major gold discovery in Australia\u2019s iron ore-rich Pilbara region<\/h2>\n

Bottom Line: De Grey Mining<\/strong> [stock_market_widget type=\"inline\" template=\"generic\" color=\"default\" assets=\"DEG\" markup=\"(ASX: {symbol} {currency_symbol}{price} ({change_pct}))\" api=\"yf\"] has confirmed major gold discoveries at its Hemi prospect<\/a> in Western Australia\u2019s Pilbara, a region known for having one of the world\u2019s largest concentrations of iron ore reserves. In its latest announcement De Grey announced a 30m wide gold zone to 130m depth with grades in excess of 8g\/t. This correlated strongly with results from previous weeks. De Grey Mining operations manager Andy Beckwith said the scale of the discovery had never been seen before in the Pilbara. De Grey has risen 380% since Feb. 3, when it began announcing drilling results.<\/p>\n

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Source: YCharts.com.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Read more>><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

Market Recap and Outlook<\/h2>\n

It was a challenging week for gold miners, as it was for the gold price. The VanEck Gold Miners ETF ($GDX), which measures the performance of the largest gold miners, fell approximately 5% since Thursday close last week. The gold price fell 6.7% in the week to Thursday close, ending at $1,471\/oz (before gaining back some ground at the start of Friday trading). In the same five-day period, the US Dollar Index, which typically has an inverse relationship with gold, rose 5.4%.<\/p>\n

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Source: YCharts.com.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Meanwhile, fund managers’ net-bullish positioning in gold futures<\/a> fell modestly last week, with a bigger drop expected when the Commodity Futures Trading Commission releases figures late Friday Eastern Time.<\/p>\n

The consensus view is that gold has lost its status as a safe-haven asset as investors hoard cash amid dismal economic data and the spread of the coronavirus<\/a>. Gold rallied for a short time on Monday after the Fed\u2019s emergency one-point rate cut, but soon succumbed to bad news including the largest-ever drop in the Philadelphia Federal Reserve\u2019s manufacturing business outlook.<\/p>\n

Until last week, gold had managed to avoid the meteoric falls suffered by most other metals amid panic over the coronavirus. The big question now is: will gold regain its status as a safe-haven asset in these terribly uncertain times? As the first two items in this roundup show, analysts are split on the answer to that question.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A weekly review of the most important news impacting the gold mining industry and the stocks in your portfolio. Don’t forget your hedge.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":14743,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[59],"tags":[217,288,1497,103,1599,1600,1470,1598,272,859,275,1597],"class_list":{"0":"post-21510","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-metals","8":"tag-abx","9":"tag-aem","10":"tag-agnico-eagle","11":"tag-barrick-gold","12":"tag-de-grey","13":"tag-gdx","14":"tag-gold-mining","15":"tag-kirkland-lake","16":"tag-kl","17":"tag-metals","18":"tag-nem","19":"tag-newmont"},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nGold Investor Roundup: Analysis of the Week\u2019s Most Important Events (March 20th, 2020) | Capital 10X<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A weekly review of the most important news impacting the gold mining industry and the stocks in your portfolio. 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