{"id":17360,"date":"2019-07-23T04:35:32","date_gmt":"2019-07-23T08:35:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/?p=17360"},"modified":"2019-07-23T04:35:32","modified_gmt":"2019-07-23T08:35:32","slug":"chesapeake-energy-chk","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/chesapeake-energy-chk\/","title":{"rendered":"Chesapeake Energy Is on a Path Towards Profitability"},"content":{"rendered":"

Chesapeake Energy<\/strong> [stock_market_widget type=\"inline\" template=\"generic\" color=\"default\" assets=\"CHK\" markup=\"(NYSE: {symbol} {currency_symbol}{price} ({change_pct}))\" api=\"yf\"] has long confounded investors. Chesapeake remains the second-largest producer<\/a> of natural gas<\/a> in the United States, lagging only ExxonMobil\u00a0in production volumes. Despite this advantage, low natural gas prices have left CHK stock unable to recover.<\/p>\n

However, the takeover of Wildhorse Resource Development has made oil a much more important part of the company. It also helps that oil prices have returned to the $60 per barrel level as of the time of this writing. Moreover, thanks to a key technological shift, the U.S. natural gas industry could see a business surge.<\/p>\n

Chesapeake could benefit if it can overcome the risks.<\/p>\n

Heavy Debt Burden Continues to Weigh on CHK Stock<\/h2>\n
Though Wall Street expects a modest full-year loss, they expect quarterly profits to return by the end of the year.<\/div>\n

Chesapeake stock is not for the faint of heart. The 2014-16 crash in energy prices left the company with a debt burden of more than five times its market cap. Asset sales helped prevent a total collapse. However, since 2016, it has spent most of its trading history as a penny stock. Over the last two months, it has rarely traded above $2 per share.<\/p>\n

This comes despite difficult but dramatically-improved conditions. The long-term debt<\/a>, which once stood at over $11 billion, has fallen to just under $9.2 billion. Investors should note that this accounts for last year\u2019s purchase of Wildhorse to increase its oil exposure.<\/p>\n

It had also returned to profitability before purchasing Wildhorse. Though Wall Street expects a modest full-year loss, they expect quarterly profits<\/a> to return by the end of the year. Furthermore, the company continues to sell off holdings to reduce debt.<\/p>\n

However, it is oil prices that constitute the real risk. At current prices, I see no issue with Chesapeake’s return to profitability. It could even prosper should oil<\/a> go much higher. However, if oil prices crater again, it could leave Chesapeake unable to service its debt.<\/p>\n

Natural Gas Exports Could Bolster CHK<\/h2>\n

Technology may provide Chesapeake with a solution.<\/p>\n

In previous decades, exporters could not ship natural gas overseas. Today, ships can carry liquefied natural gas (LNG) across oceans. Thanks to the rapid growth of this new industry, LNG exports<\/a> rose 35% in 2018 and they have already reached 33 countries. Going forward, the Energy Information Administration (EIA)<\/a> expects exports to increase by 63% in 2019 and 42% in 2020.<\/p>\n

As of the time of this writing, natural gas trades<\/a> at about $2.40 per 1000 BTUs. But that\u2019s the price in the United States. Look to Europe<\/a>, and it trades at $3.58 per 1000 BTUs. In Japan<\/a>, natural gas fetches $9.91 per 1000 BTUs!<\/p>\n

It may already affect prices. In Europe, the market valued natural gas at $7.45 per 1000 BTUs one year ago. The price has also fallen in Japan at that time. Despite falling prices, selling overseas can only help CHK stock.<\/p>\n

Should I Buy Chesapeake Stock?<\/h2>\n

In my view, the prospect for natural gas sales in Europe and Asia make Chesapeake a worthwhile speculative investment. Moreover, many analysts, including Morgan Stanley\u2019s Devin McDermott, believe<\/a> Chesapeake has positioned itself well to pay down debt and sell assets.<\/p>\n

To be sure, risks remain. Oil prices could collapse, forcing Chesapeake into bankruptcy. Moreover, even McDermott admits<\/a> that free cash flow will probably not turn positive until at least 2023.<\/p>\n

Still, Chesapeake had paid down about $4 billion in debt between early 2016 and just before it bought Wildhorse. Now with Wildhorse\u2019s oil revenue and more asset sales, debt reduction should resume. Once Chesapeake can stabilize its balance sheet, it should rise well above its current $1.90 per share price.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

After racking up serious debt, Chesapeake Energy (NYSE: CHK) is working towards profitability and paying it down after the Wildhorse acquisition.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":14154,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[882,883,208,168],"class_list":{"0":"post-17360","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-energy","8":"tag-chesapeake-energy","9":"tag-chk","10":"tag-company-news","11":"tag-natural-gas"},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nChesapeake Energy (CHK) Is on a Path Towards Profitability | Capital 10X<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"After racking up serious debt, Chesapeake Energy (NYSE: CHK) is working towards profitability and paying it down after the Wildhorse acquisition.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, 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