{"id":15423,"date":"2019-03-11T09:21:23","date_gmt":"2019-03-11T13:21:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/?p=15423"},"modified":"2019-03-11T11:00:32","modified_gmt":"2019-03-11T15:00:32","slug":"meg-energy-latest-results-meg","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/meg-energy-latest-results-meg\/","title":{"rendered":"Should You Buy MEG Energy After Its Latest Results?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Weak oil prices have dealt a blow to <strong>MEG Energy [stock_market_widget type=\"inline\" template=\"generic\" color=\"default\" assets=\"MEG\" markup=\"(TSE: {symbol} {currency_symbol}{price} ({change_pct}))\" api=\"yf\"]<\/strong>\u00a0as the massive decline in the company\u2019s stock price over the past year shows. The oil producer has been forced to <a href=\"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/meg-energy-capital-expenditure-2019\/\">cut its 2019 spending<\/a> in light of the oil price uncertainty, a move that hadn\u2019t gone down well with investors when it was announced earlier this year.<\/p>\n<p>MEG gave investors more reasons to worry about when it released its results for the fourth quarter and full year 2018. The company\u2019s loss <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/meg-energys-fourth-quarter-loss-231130620.html\">widened<\/a> substantially year over year thanks to a decline in realized prices, erasing any chances of a comeback. Let\u2019s take a look at how MEG performed last quarter and what investors can expect from the company this year.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>A Terrible Quarter<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The Calgary-based company\u2019s fourth-quarter <a href=\"https:\/\/www.megenergy.com\/news-room\/article\/meg-energy-reports-record-operational-results-2018\">production<\/a> of bitumen, a low-grade variety of crude oil, dropped from 90,228 barrels per day in the year-ago period to 87,582 bpd last quarter. So, MEG\u2019s production didn\u2019t drop by much on a year over year basis, but the realized price per barrel of bitumen fell from C$48.30 in the prior-year quarter to just C$13.90 this time.<\/p>\n<p>This massive decline in the price of bitumen squeezed MEG\u2019s operating netback big time despite a reduction in costs. The company reported an operating netback of just C$5.73 per barrel for the fourth quarter of 2018, down significantly from the year-ago period\u2019s figure of C$33.83 per barrel.<\/p>\n<div class=\"su-pullquote su-pullquote-align-right\">The massive decline in the price of bitumen squeezed MEG\u2019s operating netback big time despite a reduction in costs.<\/div>\n<p>As a result, the company swung to an operating loss of C$118 million from a profit of C$44 million in the year-ago quarter as revenue fell nearly a third to C$520 million. MEG\u2019s adjusted funds flow also fell into the red despite the company\u2019s efforts to reduce capital expenses last quarter.<\/p>\n<p>In all, the lower realized price of bitumen turned out to be a big headwind for MEG Energy. But will things improve in 2019 or are they going to get worse? Let\u2019s find out.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>The Way Ahead for MEG<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The oil price decline in recent months has forced MEG to be more disciplined regarding its 2019 outlook. It plans to spend just C$200 million on capital expenses this year as compared to last year\u2019s outlay of C$619 million as it aims to fully fund its capex from the operating cash flow. But despite this massive capex cut, MEG believes that it can hit 100,000 barrels per day of production this year.<\/p>\n<p>However, the company will restrict its production to a range of 90,000-92,000 bpd to meet the Alberta government\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/alberta-oil-production-cuts-2019\/\">mandatory production cuts<\/a>, which would still be an improvement over last year\u2019s production of 87,731 bpd. So MEG will be doing alright this year from an operational point of view, but the company\u2019s fortunes will be decided by the direction taken by the price of bitumen.<\/p>\n<p>It looks like analysts don\u2019t expect much of a turnaround in MEG\u2019s financial fortunes this year, with total revenue <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/quote\/MEG.TO\/analysis?p=MEG.TO\">expected<\/a> to drop 10% this year. By comparison, the company\u2019s 2018 revenue was up more than 10% as compared to the prior year. So there\u2019s a chance that things could get worse for MEG Energy going forward, which is why investors need to exercise caution and wait for solid signs of a turnaround before betting on this stock.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Lower bitumen prices could be a headwind for MEG Energy (TSE: MEG.TO) despite its cost-cutting efforts.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":14319,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[208,192,112,111,305],"class_list":{"0":"post-15423","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-energy","8":"tag-company-news","9":"tag-energy-stocks","10":"tag-meg","11":"tag-meg-energy","12":"tag-oil-and-gas"},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Should You Buy MEG Energy After Its Latest Results? 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