{"id":15355,"date":"2019-03-10T05:14:24","date_gmt":"2019-03-10T09:14:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/?p=15355"},"modified":"2019-03-10T05:44:04","modified_gmt":"2019-03-10T09:44:04","slug":"baytex-energy-bteto","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/baytex-energy-bteto\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Baytex Energy Could Be a Buy"},"content":{"rendered":"

Falling oil prices have been a headwind for Baytex Energy [stock_market_widget type=\"inline\" template=\"generic\" color=\"default\" assets=\"BTE.TO\" markup=\"(TSE: {symbol} {currency_symbol}{price} ({change_pct}))\" api=\"yf\"]<\/strong> for the past few months. Investors have fled the stock given the oil producer\u2019s weak balance sheet, but its latest results indicate that there\u2019s a possibility of a turnaround.<\/p>\n

Although Baytex\u2019s<\/a> fourth-quarter fiscal 2018 results were negatively impacted by the oil price crash, the recent recovery in the price of the commodity seems to have given its operational profile a boost. Let\u2019s see how.<\/p>\n

Baytex Delivers Solid Production Growth<\/h2>\n
Baytex’s annual production increased 14% over the prior-year period<\/div>\n

Baytex\u2019s fourth-quarter production<\/a> came in at 98,890 barrels of oil equivalent per day (BOE\/day), up 42% from the prior-year period. Of this, 83% was oil and natural gas liquids. For the full year, the company delivered 80,458 BOE\/day at a capital expenditure of C$496 million, exceeding the higher end of its production guidance. The annual production represents an increase of 14% over the prior-year period.<\/p>\n

But despite this massive increase in the quarterly production, Baytex\u2019s sales increased at a much slower pace of 20% to C$344.7 million, thanks to the lower oil price during the quarter. Moreover, its adjusted funds flow per barrel of oil equivalent fell from C$16.54 last year to C$12.17 in the fourth quarter of 2018, driven by a 22% decline in the operating netback per barrel of oil<\/a> equivalent.<\/p>\n

However, the recent oil price recovery is capable of breathing life back into Baytex stock, as the company has been encouraged to sustain its impressive production growth rate.<\/p>\n

Oil Price Recovery Could Be a Tailwind<\/h2>\n

Baytex had slashed its capital budget<\/a> for 2019 in light of the weak oil pricing scenario, calling for capex of C$550 million to C$650 million as compared to its original guidance for spending between C$750 million and C$850 million. What\u2019s really impressive is that Baytex\u2019s scaled down capital plan is still substantially ahead of what it spent last year.<\/p>\n

As a result, the company\u2019s production for the full year is expected to range between 93,000 BOE\/day and 97,000 BOE\/day. That represents an 18% increase over last year\u2019s production, though it won\u2019t be surprising to see Baytex breach that mark because of recovering oil prices<\/a>.<\/p>\n

In fact, Baytex recently clarified that its volumes for the first quarter of 2019 are trending way ahead of its forecast at more than 97,000 BOE\/day. But that was not the only positive takeaway for investors from the latest quarterly report. The company has increased its adjusted funds flow forecast from the prior figure of C$605 million to C$800 million now.<\/p>\n

The bump in the adjusted funds flow will allow Baytex to repay around C$200 million worth of debt, while maintaining the mid-point of its production guidance range.<\/p>\n

Clearly, Baytex has been emboldened by the fact that WTI oil now trades at<\/a> more than $56 per barrel as compared to $42 per barrel in December last year. So, if oil prices keep rising on account of the supply cuts<\/a> being undertaken by OPEC and its partners and strong demand for the commodity, Baytex will be in a position to further increase output and also maintain a healthy funds flow level at the same time. This could help the stock turnaround and deliver more upside.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Investors have fled Baytex Energy (TSE: BTE.TO) given the oil producer\u2019s weak balance sheet, but its latest results indicate that there\u2019s a possibility of a turnaround.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":15365,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[106,368,208,369],"class_list":{"0":"post-15355","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-energy","8":"tag-baytex-energy","9":"tag-bte-to","10":"tag-company-news","11":"tag-oil-stocks"},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nWhy Baytex Energy Could Be a Buy(TSE: BTE.TO) | Capital 10X<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Investors have fled Baytex Energy (TSE: BTE.TO) given the oil producer\u2019s weak balance sheet, but its latest results indicate that there\u2019s a possibility of a turnaround.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" 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