{"id":15044,"date":"2019-03-03T09:20:09","date_gmt":"2019-03-03T14:20:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/?p=15044"},"modified":"2019-03-01T13:50:16","modified_gmt":"2019-03-01T18:50:16","slug":"oil-prices-torc-2019-tog","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/oil-prices-torc-2019-tog\/","title":{"rendered":"Will Weak Oil Prices Derail TORC Oil and Gas\u2019 Growth in 2019?"},"content":{"rendered":"

TORC Oil and Gas ([stock_market_widget type=”inline” template=”generic” color=”default” assets=”TOG.TO” markup=”TSX: {symbol} {currency_symbol}{price} ({change_pct})” api=”yf”]) recently released its fiscal fourth quarter and full year 2018 results. The company\u2019s production increased substantially, allowing it to offset the weakness in oil prices during the final quarter of 2018 to some extent.<\/p>\n

Investors initially greeted TORC\u2019s results positively as the post-earnings spike in its share price shows. Let\u2019s take a closer look at how TORC performed and what investors can expect from the company in 2019.<\/p>\n

Q4: Improved Production Nullified by Low Oil Prices<\/h2>\n

TORC\u2019s fourth-quarter production<\/a> came in at 28,163 barrels of oil equivalent (BOE) per day, up nearly 29% from the prior-year period. For the full year, TORC\u2019s production averaged 25,339 BOE\/day as compared to 20,871 BOE\/day in 2017. Liquids accounted for 89% of the company\u2019s production.<\/p>\n

However, the steep drop in oil prices<\/a> negatively impacted TORC\u2019s quarterly results. Edmonton Par crude oil prices declined from C$68.95 per barrel in the prior year period to C$42.81 per barrel during the fourth quarter. However, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices increased slightly on a year over year basis to $58.83 per barrel.<\/p>\n

The company can command a premium for its oil as compared to the Edmonton Par prices.<\/div>\n

TORC sells its crude oil at Cromer after producing the same in Southeast Saskatchewan, so the company can command a premium for its oil as compared to the Edmonton Par prices. As a result, its average realized price<\/a> of oil per barrel came in at C$46.26 per barrel as compared to C$56.49 per barrel during the year-ago period.<\/p>\n

But this 18% decline in the price was enough to hurt the company\u2019s top line growth during the quarter. TORC delivered fourth-quarter revenue of C$119.9 million, an increase of just 5% from last year. However, investors are willing to overlook that shallow growth as TORC plans to increase its production once again this year, but is that a good idea?<\/p>\n

What\u2019s in Store for 2019?<\/h2>\n
TORC is looking to play it safe this year in light of the uncertain oil pricing environment.<\/div>\n

TORC expects to produce<\/a> 28,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day in 2019, an increase of 10% from the prior year. That might not sound like a major increase when compared to the company\u2019s 2018 performance, but TORC is looking to play it safe this year in light of the uncertain oil pricing environment.<\/p>\n

The company will spend C$180 million on capital expenditure in 2019 as compared to C$165 million last year, though it has informed investors that it plans to raise the outlay in case oil prices keep rising. The good news is that the WTI oil price has shot up over 21% so far in 2019 to more than $56 a barrel, driven by production cuts by OPEC and a surprise decline<\/a> in U.S. oil inventories.<\/p>\n

The Energy Information Administration expects<\/a> WTI crude oil prices to end 2019 at $57 per barrel, which is roughly equal to the current price level. But TORC witnessed an average WTI price of $64.78 per barrel last year, up from $50.94 a barrel in 2017. That allowed the company to increase its full-year revenue by almost 46% from the previous year.<\/p>\n

But with WTI oil expected to clock an average price that\u2019s far lower than last year\u2019s levels and production to increase just 10%, TORC might not be able to replicate 2018\u2019s terrific growth in 2019. That\u2019s probably why analysts expect the company to report flat revenue growth<\/a> this year. And in case oil prices go south once again, TORC\u2019s stock price will take a hit.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

TORC Oil and Gas (TSX: TOG) reported strong Q4 oil production numbers, however, weak oil prices limited the revenue growth. See what’s in store for 2019.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":15104,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[208,192,114,216,247,303],"class_list":{"0":"post-15044","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-energy","8":"tag-company-news","9":"tag-energy-stocks","10":"tag-oil-production","11":"tag-production-estimates","12":"tag-tog","13":"tag-torc-oil-and-gas"},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nWill Weak Oil Prices Derail TORC Oil and Gas\u2019 Growth in 2019? (TSX: TOG) | Capital 10X<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"TORC Oil and Gas (TSX: TOG) reported strong Q4 oil production numbers, however, weak oil prices limited the revenue growth. 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