{"id":14941,"date":"2019-02-26T15:11:05","date_gmt":"2019-02-26T20:11:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/?p=14941"},"modified":"2019-02-26T15:11:05","modified_gmt":"2019-02-26T20:11:05","slug":"oil-prices-berry-petroleum-bry","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/oil-prices-berry-petroleum-bry\/","title":{"rendered":"Oil Prices Will Decide Berry Petroleum\u2019s Fate After Q4 Earnings"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Berry Petroleum (NASDAQ: [stock_market_widget type=&#8221;inline&#8221; template=&#8221;generic&#8221; color=&#8221;default&#8221; assets=&#8221;BRY&#8221; markup=&#8221;{symbol} {currency_symbol}{price} ({change_pct})&#8221; api=&#8221;yf&#8221;]) is off to a solid start in 2019, with shares of the upstream oil producer having shot up nearly 45% so far this year thanks to the rally in crude oil prices. But Berry\u2019s momentum will be put to test when the company releases its fiscal fourth-quarter and full-year results on March 6. Let\u2019s see what Wall Street is expecting from Berry.<\/p>\n<h2>Big Expectations For Berry Petroleum<\/h2>\n<div class=\"su-pullquote su-pullquote-align-right\">There\u2019s a good chance of the exploration and production company moving above its IPO price of $14 per share this year because Wall Street is anticipating strong revenue growth.<\/div>\n<p>Analysts <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/quote\/BRY\/analysis?p=BRY\">expect<\/a> Berry to deliver earnings of $0.44 per share on revenue of $153.5 million. Now, Berry closed its <a href=\"https:\/\/globenewswire.com\/news-release\/2018\/07\/30\/1544176\/0\/en\/Berry-Petroleum-Corporation-Announces-Closing-of-Initial-Public-Offering.html\">initial public offering<\/a> in July last year, so there\u2019s no prior data with which we can compare its upcoming results. However, there\u2019s a good chance of the exploration and production company moving above its IPO price of $14 per share this year because Wall Street is anticipating strong revenue growth.<\/p>\n<p>For 2019, Berry\u2019s revenue is expected to increase nearly 34% year over year to $620.5 million, while earnings are expected to increase from an estimated $1.53 per share in 2018 to $1.63 per share this year. But investors should note that Berry doesn\u2019t expect its production to increase by much this year.<\/p>\n<p>The company is on track to produce between 27,000 and 30,000 barrels of <a href=\"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/energy\/\">oil<\/a> equivalent per day in 2018, around 80% of which will be oil. For 2019, the production is expected to <a href=\"https:\/\/globenewswire.com\/news-release\/2018\/11\/08\/1647571\/0\/en\/Berry-Petroleum-Reports-Third-Quarter-2018-Results-Announces-Quarterly-Dividend.html\">range between<\/a> 29,000 and 32,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, a potential increase of 7% over last year. Meanwhile, capital expenses are expected to jump from $150 million last year to $245 million in 2019 at the mid-point of the company&#8217;s guidance.<\/p>\n<p>As such, Berry will need a massive improvement in <a href=\"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/phillips-66-q4-2018-earnings-review\/\">oil prices<\/a> this year to deliver the revenue growth that analysts are expecting. That is far from guaranteed.<\/p>\n<h2>Oil Prices to Decide Berry\u2019s<\/h2>\n<p>Berry has enjoyed strong oil pricing momentum so far. The company\u2019s average realized price of oil stood at <a href=\"https:\/\/globenewswire.com\/news-release\/2018\/11\/08\/1647571\/0\/en\/Berry-Petroleum-Reports-Third-Quarter-2018-Results-Announces-Quarterly-Dividend.html\">just above<\/a> $67 per barrel during the September quarter last year. The realized price closely reflected the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price of $69.50 per barrel.<\/p>\n<div class=\"su-pullquote su-pullquote-align-left\">The likelihood of Berry missing estimates is strong, and in such a scenario, the company\u2019s recent stock price momentum will definitely take a hit.<\/div>\n<p>However, WTI oil prices have tumbled in recent months, with the commodity now trading at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/quote\/CL1:COM\">just above<\/a> $57 per barrel, rising from December 2018\u2019s lows of $42 per barrel. As such, the likelihood of Berry missing estimates is strong, and in such a scenario, the company\u2019s recent stock price momentum will definitely take a hit. At the same time, the company\u2019s 2019 outlook could also take a hit because of the weak pricing.<\/p>\n<p>So, Berry Petroleum investors should brace for a potential crash when it releases its earnings early in March.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Berry Petroleum&#8217;s (NASDAQ: BRY) stock price has been off to a strong start in 2019, but with oil price weakness in Q4 2018, trouble could be coming.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":15022,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[289,290,208,192,191,114],"class_list":{"0":"post-14941","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-energy","8":"tag-berry-petroleum","9":"tag-bry","10":"tag-company-news","11":"tag-energy-stocks","12":"tag-oil-price","13":"tag-oil-production"},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This 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