{"id":14668,"date":"2019-02-21T15:41:59","date_gmt":"2019-02-21T20:41:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/?p=14668"},"modified":"2019-02-21T15:41:59","modified_gmt":"2019-02-21T20:41:59","slug":"new-gold-guidance-2019-ngd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/new-gold-guidance-2019-ngd\/","title":{"rendered":"New Gold Stock Craters After a Tepid 2019 Guidance"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>New Gold&#8217;s (TSX: [stock_market_widget type=&#8221;inline&#8221; template=&#8221;generic&#8221; color=&#8221;default&#8221; assets=&#8221;NGD.TO&#8221; markup=&#8221;{symbol} {currency_symbol}{price} ({change_pct})&#8221; api=&#8221;yf&#8221;]) stock price was hammered big time despite a strong showing in the recently-reported fourth quarter as the stock market wasn\u2019t pleased with its <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/gold-reports-fourth-quarter-end-113000282.html\">2019 guidance<\/a>. The intermediate <a href=\"http:\/\/capital10x.com\/metals\">gold<\/a> producer tanked more than 26% in a single session after the earnings report came out, bringing an abrupt end to a three-month rally that had seen the stock pull up from its 52-week lows.<\/p>\n[stock_market_widget type=&#8221;chart&#8221; template=&#8221;basic&#8221; color=&#8221;blue&#8221; assets=&#8221;NGD.TO&#8221; range=&#8221;3mo&#8221; interval=&#8221;1d&#8221; axes=&#8221;true&#8221; cursor=&#8221;true&#8221; api=&#8221;yf&#8221;]\n<p>Let\u2019s take a closer look at New Gold\u2019s quarterly performance and examine the reasons behind its massive drop.<\/p>\n<h2>New Gold Shows a Strong Q4 Performance<\/h2>\n<div class=\"su-pullquote su-pullquote-align-right\">New Gold&#8217;s production is up nearly 68% from a year ago.<\/div>\n<p>New Gold <a href=\"http:\/\/s1.q4cdn.com\/240714812\/files\/documents_financials\/2018\/q4\/Management-Discussion-Analysis-Q4-2018-FINAL.pdf\">produced<\/a> 97,428 ounces of gold from its continuing operations during the fourth quarter, up nearly 68% from the year-ago quarter\u2019s output thanks to the ramp-up of operations at the Rainy River mine that began commercial production in October 2017. The company\u2019s cash costs per ounce of gold stood at $540 an ounce as compared to $778 an ounce in the prior-year period.<\/p>\n<p>All-in sustaining costs per ounce of gold went down from $945 in the prior-year period to $857 during the fourth quarter. Thanks to the higher production and lower costs, New Gold\u2019s top line increased 27% annually while operating margin shot up to 81.5% as compared to 47.4% a year ago.<\/p>\n<div class=\"su-note\"  style=\"border-color:#d2d7dd;border-radius:3px;-moz-border-radius:3px;-webkit-border-radius:3px;\"><div class=\"su-note-inner su-u-clearfix su-u-trim\" style=\"background-color:#ECf1f7;border-color:#ffffff;color:#000000;border-radius:3px;-moz-border-radius:3px;-webkit-border-radius:3px;\">Read our <a href=\"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/mining-companies-earnings-guidance\/#gold-cash-costs\">guide<\/a>\u00a0to learn how New Gold&#8217;s gold production costs stack up again competitors.<\/div><\/div>\n<p>The higher revenue and improved margins helped New Gold deliver adjusted net earnings of $22.7 million from its continuing operations, which is a massive improvement over the prior-year period\u2019s loss of $10.6 million. On a per share basis, New Gold\u2019s earnings arrived at $0.04 as compared to <a href=\"https:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/news\/3433231-new-gold-beats-0_04-misses-revenue\">analysts\u2019 expectations<\/a> of break-even.<\/p>\n<p>However, New Gold\u2019s revenue fell slightly behind consensus estimates of around $165 million, and the lower-than-expected production guidance for 2019 further dented investor confidence.<\/p>\n<h2>Tepid 2019 Guidance Causes a Stock Route<\/h2>\n<p>New Gold <a href=\"https:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/news\/3433573-new-gold-minus-24-percent-production-guidance-smaller-costlier-expectations\">expects<\/a> to produce somewhere between 300,000 ounces and 335,000 ounces of gold in 2019. The mid-point of that guidance range is almost in line with the company\u2019s 2018 production of 315,483 ounces. The company expects all-in sustaining costs of $1,370-$1,470 an ounce for the full year.<\/p>\n<div class=\"su-pullquote su-pullquote-align-left\">Profitability will take a hit this year thanks to an increase in costs.<\/div>\n<p>However, analysts were expecting New Gold to deliver 336,000 ounces of production in 2019\u00a0at an all-in sustaining cost of $1,022 an ounce. The guidance suggests that New Gold will be missing those marks by a wide range, and its profitability will also take a hit this year thanks to an increase in costs. New Gold\u2019s 2018 all-in sustaining costs from continuing operations stood at $1,051 an ounce. So, according to the mid-point of the company\u2019s guidance, its all-in sustaining costs will rise by 35% in 2019.<\/p>\n<p>The underperformance of the Rainy River mine is the biggest reason why the company\u2019s cost profile will take a hit this year. The company estimates production of 245,000-270,000 ounces of gold at Rainy River in 2019 as compared to last year\u2019s output of 227,284 ounces. But long-term focused investments at the mine to boost sustainable and profitable mining operations will inflate costs big time.<\/p>\n<p>Rainy River expects all-in sustaining costs of $1,690-$1,790 an ounce this year, which is 16% higher than 2018\u2019s all-in sustaining costs of $1,501 an ounce. As such, New Gold is unlikely to take advantage of the recent improvement in <a href=\"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/premier-gold-pg-2018-production\/\">gold prices<\/a> this year thanks to a flat production profile and spiking costs.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>New Gold (TSX: NGD) showed a strong Q4 in 2018, however, disappointing guidance has seriously dented investor confidence. See where they missed the mark.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":14752,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[59],"tags":[208,177,119,228,229,132,216],"class_list":{"0":"post-14668","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-metals","8":"tag-company-news","9":"tag-gold-price","10":"tag-gold-production","11":"tag-new-gold","12":"tag-ngd","13":"tag-production-costs","14":"tag-production-estimates"},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>New Gold Stock Craters After a Tepid 2019 Guidance (TSX: NGD) | Capital 10X<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"New Gold (TSX: NGD) showed a strong Q4 in 2018, however, disappointing guidance has seriously dented investor confidence. 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