{"id":14240,"date":"2019-02-08T16:13:50","date_gmt":"2019-02-08T21:13:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/?p=14240"},"modified":"2019-02-14T13:59:35","modified_gmt":"2019-02-14T18:59:35","slug":"paramount-resources-stock-uncertainty-pou","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/paramount-resources-stock-uncertainty-pou\/","title":{"rendered":"Paramount Resources&#8217; Weak Balance Sheet Creates Stock Uncertainty"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The recent rise in oil prices has been a boon for Paramount Resources (TSX:\u00a0[stock_market_widget type=&#8221;inline&#8221; template=&#8221;generic&#8221; color=&#8221;default&#8221; assets=&#8221;POU.TO&#8221; markup=&#8221;{symbol} {currency_symbol}{price} ({change_pct})&#8221; api=&#8221;yf&#8221;]) investors. The stock has halved in value over the past year, but it is witnessing a turnaround of sorts in 2019 thanks to the recent rise in oil prices. In fact, Paramount shares have started to pull up from the 52-week lows they had hit in December 2018.<\/p>\n[stock_market_widget type=&#8221;chart&#8221; template=&#8221;basic&#8221; color=&#8221;blue&#8221; assets=&#8221;POU.TO&#8221; range=&#8221;1y&#8221; interval=&#8221;1mo&#8221; axes=&#8221;true&#8221; cursor=&#8221;true&#8221; api=&#8221;yf&#8221;]\n<p>However, it remains to be seen if Paramount\u2019s recent resurgence is sustainable. Let&#8217;s try and find an answer.<\/p>\n<h2>Low Natural Gas Prices Hurt Paramount&#8217;s Prospects<\/h2>\n<p>Paramount derives its sales from natural gas, natural gas liquids, and crude oil. During the third quarter of 2018, <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/paramount-resources-ltd-reports-third-231900254.html\">the company sold<\/a> 80,471 barrels of oil equivalent\/day, 37% of which was liquids. So the dynamics of the natural gas market will play a critical role in shaping Paramount\u2019s fortunes.<\/p>\n<p>As it turns out, severe cold in Canada has led to record <a href=\"https:\/\/www.winnipegfreepress.com\/local\/single-day-record-for-natural-gas-consumption-set-wednesday-hydro-505208082.html\">natural gas consumption<\/a>, but prices have failed to take off because of an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.ca\/2019\/01\/22\/will-canadian-natural-gas-prices-rebound\/\">existing supply glut<\/a> in Western Canada. The supply glut has been triggered by the absence of exit pipeline capacity in the country and a production boom, causing a sharp pullback in <a href=\"http:\/\/capital10x.com\/energy\">natural gas prices<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>For instance, the spot natural gas price had hit $4.60\/MMBTU in early December last year, but subsequently fell to $3.17\/MMBTU. The U.S. Energy Information Administration believes that the natural gas spot prices will <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.ca\/2019\/01\/28\/will-canadas-natural-gas-crisis-worsen-during-2019\/\">trend below<\/a> the $3\/MMBTU mark for the entire year on account of excess supply. That could pose a problem for the company going forward and hinder its growth prospects this year.<\/p>\n<p>But this isn\u2019t the only challenge that Paramount is facing.<\/p>\n<h2>Paramount&#8217;s Weak Balance Sheet Hurts Outlook<\/h2>\n<p>Oil prices might have risen of late, but that doesn\u2019t mean the trend will continue as cracks are emerging in the oil market\u2019s demand-supply dynamics. Crude oil inventories in the U.S. are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2019\/02\/07\/oil-markets-us-crude-opec-us-sanctions-on-venezuela-in-focus.html\">rising thanks to<\/a> record production, while OPEC ally Russia is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2019-02-05\/russia-takes-its-time-to-comply-with-opec-oil-output-cuts\">taking its own sweet time<\/a> to comply with its promise of reducing output.<\/p>\n<p>These developments could knock the wind out of the oil price rally and create a problem for Paramount in light of its weak balance sheet. Paramount has <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/quote\/POU.TO\/key-statistics?p=POU.TO\">nearly<\/a> C$700 million in debt and just C$36 million in cash. This means that the company will have to restrict its 2019 capital plan to avoid taking on more debt.<\/p>\n<p>Paramount is yet to release its fourth quarter 2018 results and the 2019 plan, but investors can expect a haircut in the capital expenditure this year because of the sticky balance sheet situation, negatively impacting the company\u2019s production profile in the process. However, Paramount has been <a href=\"https:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/news\/3364122-paramount-resources-sell-non-core-montney-assets-c-340m-deal\">divesting its non-core assets<\/a>, and that could help the company support its development plans despite the oil price downturn.<\/p>\n<p>Investors should be wary of the company\u2019s precarious balance sheet situation. Further weakness in <a href=\"http:\/\/capital10x.com\">oil<\/a> and natural gas prices could hurt its finances, and possibly force the company into selling more assets or slash its spending to beat the downturn.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Paramount Resources&#8217; (TSE: POU) recent recovery may end due to low natural gas prices and a weak balance sheet that restricts capital developments.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":14319,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[208,168,166,167],"class_list":{"0":"post-14240","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-energy","8":"tag-company-news","9":"tag-natural-gas","10":"tag-paramount-resources","11":"tag-pou-to"},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Paramount&#039;s Weak Balance Sheet Creates Stock Uncertainty (TSX: POU)<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Paramount Resources&#039; 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