{"id":13942,"date":"2019-02-05T13:46:53","date_gmt":"2019-02-05T18:46:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/?p=13942"},"modified":"2019-02-14T14:18:52","modified_gmt":"2019-02-14T19:18:52","slug":"iron-ore-vale-stock","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/capital10x.com\/old\/iron-ore-vale-stock\/","title":{"rendered":"How Iron Ore Price Could Save Vale Stock"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Vale stock price (NYSE: [stock_market_widget type=&#8221;inline&#8221; template=&#8221;generic&#8221; color=&#8221;default&#8221; assets=&#8221;VALE&#8221; markup=&#8221;{symbol} {currency_symbol}{price} ({change_pct})&#8221; api=&#8221;yf&#8221;]) nosedived toward the end of January as a dam breach at the company\u2019s Feijao mine in the Brazilian state of Minas Gerais <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/vale-board-suspends-dividends-deadly-090639056.html\">left hundreds missing<\/a> and at least 84 dead. The disaster wiped out $18 billion of Vale\u2019s market cap in a single day, with the stock down 23% at one point.<\/p>\n<div class=\"su-pullquote su-pullquote-align-right\">Despite a dam breach at their Feijao mine that killed 84 people, Vale shares were back in the green within a week.<\/div>\n<p>The world\u2019s largest iron ore miner has also suspended its dividend and buyback program and delayed the release of its quarterly results as it prepares to face the financial and legal fallout of the disaster.<\/p>\n<p>But despite all this negativity, Vale shares were back in the green within a week of the breach. That might surprise some given the severity of the situation and the potential fines the company might be facing. But a closer look at how this event is going to impact iron ore prices will make it clear why Vale investors have bid the stock up.<\/p>\n[stock_market_widget type=&#8221;chart&#8221; template=&#8221;basic&#8221; color=&#8221;blue&#8221; assets=&#8221;VALE&#8221; range=&#8221;3mo&#8221; interval=&#8221;5d&#8221; axes=&#8221;true&#8221; cursor=&#8221;true&#8221; api=&#8221;yf&#8221;]\n<h2>Iron Ore Price Set to Climb<\/h2>\n<div class=\"su-pullquote su-pullquote-align-left\">BMO Capital Markets analyst has raised his <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/feb8fe58-245f-11e9-b329-c7e6ceb5ffdf\">iron ore price target<\/a> for 2019 to $78 a tonne from $63 earlier.<\/div>\n<p>Vale has announced that it will slash nearly 10% of its annual iron ore output \u2013 amounting to around 40 million tonnes \u2013 as it suspends operations at some of its <a href=\"http:\/\/capital10x.com\/glencore-stock-price-2019\">mines<\/a> to decommission identical tailings dams as a pre-emptive measure. The Brazilian giant will be halting operations at 10 of its mines, creating a tight supply situation as it will take 2.5% of the global supply out of the end market, eventually leading to higher pricing.<\/p>\n<p>That would allow iron ore miners to bring additional higher cost capacity into play to make up for the shortfall caused by Vale\u2019s decision. In fact, Vale itself will try to fill in for the suspended production by tapping into spare capacity at some of its mines. Nevertheless, iron ore prices are set to get a shot in the arm this year.<\/p>\n<p>BMO Capital Markets analyst Colin Hamilton has raised his <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/feb8fe58-245f-11e9-b329-c7e6ceb5ffdf\">iron ore price target<\/a> for 2019 to $78 a tonne from $63 earlier. As it turns out, iron ore prices are already trending higher and they are expected to remain at elevated levels for the next few quarters.<\/p>\n<h2>Vale Stock Price Steeled by Iron\u00a0Ore<\/h2>\n<p>Vale\u2019s iron ore production has trended higher with each passing quarter of fiscal year 2018. The company\u2019s production for the first nine months of 2018 stood at 283.6 Mt, an increase of 3% over the prior-year period. The company\u2019s third-quarter output itself was 104.9 Mt, which means that it was on track to achieve its full-year target of 400 million tonnes of production in 2019.<\/p>\n<p>But with 10% of that potential production going out of the equation, Vale\u2019s 2019 production figures could be around 360 million tonnes. Meanwhile, the company has 50 million tonnes of standby capacity that could mitigate the shortfall from the suspended operations, but that\u2019s going to be easier said than done.<\/p>\n<p>It is likely that regulators and potential sanctions will make it difficult for Vale to tap into the additional capacity, so it won\u2019t be surprising to see the company\u2019s 2019 output falling below last year\u2019s levels. Of course, higher iron ore prices will help steel Vale\u2019s top line and prevent a big hit.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Vale stock (NYSE: VALE) price nosedived amid dam disaster and pending legal and financial fallout, but higher iron ore prices could minimize damage.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":14148,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[59],"tags":[98,100,77,207,99,97],"class_list":{"0":"post-13942","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-metals","8":"tag-brazil","9":"tag-dam","10":"tag-iron-ore","11":"tag-market-news","12":"tag-minas-gerais","13":"tag-vale"},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>How Iron Ore Price Could Save Vale Stock 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